The Premier League is set to conclude today, and the title race is still wide open. Manchester City has moved two points clear at the top of the table after a 2-0 win at Tottenham on Tuesday, leaving them just one win away from claiming a record fourth successive Premier League title.
Arsenal, however, is hot on their heels, sitting two points behind their title rivals and hosting Everton on the final day. The Gunners must win to have any chance of winning their first title in 20 years. If they do, and City draw with West Ham, the destination of the trophy will be decided by goal difference, with Arsenal currently on +61 compared to City’s +60.
If the sides are also level on goal difference, the title will come down to goals scored. City leads this tie-breaker, with 93 goals scored compared to Arsenal’s 89. Should City lose to West Ham, an Arsenal win would ensure the title heads to the Emirates.
Manchester City’s title chances jumped 25% to 84% after their win at Tottenham, while Arsenal’s chances tumbled by the same amount to 16%, according to Opta.
The Europa League and Conference League places are still up for grabs, with a fifth-place finish securing Europa League qualification. Tottenham can guarantee this with a draw at relegated Sheffield United on Sunday. However, if Spurs lose, Chelsea can move into fifth with a win over Bournemouth at home.
Chelsea will secure sixth place if they avoid defeat against Bournemouth, but if the Cherries win at Stamford Bridge, Newcastle will move into sixth with a win at Brentford. Manchester United is level on points with Newcastle but is unlikely to move above Chelsea due to their inferior goal difference.
The FA Cup winners will also receive a Europa League place, with City playing United at Wembley on May 25. If City wins the FA Cup, their Europa League place will go to the team finishing sixth in the Premier League, meaning the Conference League place will go to the side finishing seventh.
Sheffield United and Burnley will return to the Championship after just one season in the top flight, and they are almost certainly going to be joined by Luton. The Hatters are three points behind Nottingham Forest but have a -31 goal difference compared to Forest’s -19.
The Golden Boot is likely to be won by Erling Haaland, who is on 27 goals for City, five clear of Chelsea’s Cole Palmer. Ollie Watkins is likely to finish top of the assist charts, with the Aston Villa striker on 13. Palmer, Kevin De Bruyne, Kieran Trippier, Mohamed Salah, Anthony Gordon, Pascal Gross, and Morgan Gibbs-White are tied in second with 10.
In terms of goal involvements – goals and assists combined – Palmer, Watkins, and Haaland are all tied on 32. Arsenal’s David Raya has already won the Golden Glove with 16 clean sheets, while Everton’s Jordan Pickford will finish second with 13. Andre Onana is set to end the season with the most saves of any goalkeeper, with the Man Utd stopper on 147, ahead of Luton’s Thomas Kaminski on 143.
